Five years of Windows 10 – End of Windows-as-a-service not yet in sight

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It’s hard to spot a cadence in Windows releases since the late 1980s, but if we stick to a three-year window, we could be gearing up for Windows 12 right now. Obviously, that’s not the case. Five years ago on July 29, 2015, Microsoft introduced Windows 10 and at the presentation in January of that year, the company made it clear that it saw its operating system as a service. A service that would be continuously updated to keep as many users up-to-date as possible. In that respect, Microsoft has kept its word and a cadence can be observed in those updates. Microsoft still gives Windows 10 a major update every spring and every fall, in addition to the patches that appear monthly to close security vulnerabilities.

In 2014, we reported on the arrival of Windows 9 , which Microsoft would be working on under the project name Threshold. Threshold is the name of a planet in the Halo game series. Windows 9 would be a logical name after Windows 7, 8 and 8.1, but Microsoft opted for Windows 10 , as it would be more appropriate given the big step that was taken. Microsoft also considered using Windows One “to emphasize the unity of its products,” but decided against it because that name had already been used: for Windows 1.0.

Windows 10 was different from previous Windows releases for several reasons. The operating system has always been a significant cash cow for the company. As an illustration, the presales of Windows 8 licenses earned the company almost a billion dollars in a quarter in 2013. However, when announcing five years ago, Microsoft announced that users of Windows 7 and Windows 8.1 could upgrade to Windows 10 for free. This free upgrade path was supposed to last up to a year after release, but through the Media Creation Tool it is even now still possible and it looks like it will stay that way. Microsoft’s goal was to get as many people as possible to adopt its new operating system, to prevent fragmentation of the Windows versions in use and to make the OS more attractive to developers. The company even announced its target of one billion users by 2018, which should include not only PCs, but also smartphones, internet-of-things devices and tablets. In 2016 it turned out that this number was too high in such a short period of time and Microsoft scrapped the target. At the beginning of this year , the milestone was reached after all .

The One Windows ecosystem that never came

Achieving 1 billion installations in a relatively short period of time was an example of the very ambitious plans that Microsoft had with Windows 10. The company had One Windows as a vision, which meant that a single development team would work on the different versions for mobile, internet-of-things, embedded, and pc and tablets. Also, those versions would maintain a shared base and there would be a single store of Universal Windows Apps.

One of the main pillars of that strategy fell apart when Microsoft discontinued Windows 10 Mobile. That mobile operating system had to offer users a universal user experience and seamless connection between mobile and PC. For example, with the Continuum feature , users coulduse their mobile as a kind of desktop PC with monitor, keyboard and mouse. Where Apple iOS and macOS, and Google Android and ChromeOS can increasingly connect to each other, Microsoft Windows has since had to connect mobile via the competing platforms. The company does this, for example, with the Your phone app, with which messages and photos can be linked. There was never a specific announcement to pull the plug on Windows 10 Mobile, but the company did announce in 2017 that developing new features was ” not the focus “, sealing the fate of the operating system. Support for the software finally ended on January 14, along with Windows 7.

The answer to the Windows 8 critique

In addition to being a starting point for a broad Windows ecosystem, Windows 10 was of course mainly a response to the criticism of Windows 8. That operating system appeared in 2012 , but soon turned out to be much less popular than its popular predecessor Windows 7. Microsoft’s adjustments under the hood were positively received, such as the changes that made the kernel faster and more efficient, the extensive boot protection of Windows Defender and the integration of Hyper-V. However, users did not like the Metro interface or Modern UI. Microsoft was inspired for this interface by the ‘bare’ visual style, as used in public transport, and therefore the metro.

Windows 8 had to make Windows especially suitable for operation with a touchscreen. Apple had successfully introduced the iPad in 2010, while Microsoft had been trying to interest the market in so-called tablet PCs for years. From now on, the Windows start screen was a screen-filling interface with Live Tiles, large colored tiles for the applications. According to Microsoft, the traditional start button was superfluous. Windows 8 presented users with a touchscreen-optimized software environment that was very different from the classic desktop environment that was still present. Users, most of whom used mouse and keyboard, were torn between these worlds and the arrival of Windows 8.1 in 2013 did little to change that.

With Windows 10, Microsoft focused more on desktop users again. Windows Store apps no longer ran full screen by default and there is a less strict separation between the new and the old Windows. A touch-oriented start menu has since been there, but only in tablet mode. The old trusted start button is back and for desktop users it opens a start menu with Live Tiles that only takes up part of the screen.

The Start Menu, then and now

Microsoft itself may have been surprised at how long the Start menu has lasted in Windows and how much users seem to be attached to it. The start button and the start menu appeared for the first time with Windows 95 and they are basically the same with Windows 10. That doesn’t mean users, or Microsoft itself, were happy with the return to that basics over Windows 8. The company continues to tinker with its start menu for Windows.

For example, a year after the release of Windows 10, with the Anniversary Update , Microsoft opted for a standard display of a list of all programs. Before then, users still had to click an ‘All apps’ button. The Creators Update , a year later, finally brought the ability to group the tiles of apps. The Fall Creators Update brought the ability to resize the start menu by dragging diagonally.

The 2018 Spring Creators Update let you go directly to the app settings via a Live Tile. With the May 2019 Update, Microsoft made some minor visual changes to the Start menu, but the most significant change was the Light theme, which made the menu lighter. And with the May 2020 Update , it was mainly the new icons that gave the start menu a different look. We still have to wait for the next major update for the start menu, but Microsoft already showed that the background colors of the Live Tiles will disappear and only the icons in the tiles will remain. This gives the menu a much calmer look. There were rumors that Microsoft wanted to shut down altogetherwith the Live Tiles, but this doesn’t seem to be the case.

Features that came and features that went

In recent years, Microsoft added numerous new apps and features to Windows 10, some of which were clearly here to stay. For example, biometric login with Windows Hello has been an important addition since the start of Windows 10 in the run-up to better authentication methods than passwords alone . The ability of different desktops to distribute tasks and the overview that TaskView offers will also be appreciated by some of the users.

In addition, Microsoft seems to have big plans for the Linux subsystem, which received a major upgrade with WSL 2 this year. The Sandbox also seems like a welcome addition, albeit for Enterprise and Pro users only. The settings menu was still a mess with Windows 8, but the settings were already a lot clearer with Windows 10 and slowly but surely things are moving in the right direction. Microsoft recently announced that it will bring more items from the “old” control panel to the modern settings menu, such as the information from the system information About page. The company seems to be phasing out the time-honored control panel. This is one of the parts that looked pretty much the same on Windows 7 and Vista.

Windows 10 also includes some features that have been modified since the release of the operating system. For example, the software store has undergone the necessary transformations, including the name change from Windows Store to Microsoft Store. The store does not seem very successful yet. The Edge browser also failed. Last year, Microsoft therefore decided to make a major U-turn and the new version of Edge is based on Chromium. With this fresh start and wider compatibility, Microsoft hopes to attract more users to the browser. The Ink Workspace is also completely different from the release. What started as an ambitious bundling of functions for stylus use, has become links to Snip & Sketch and Workspace since the last update.

Some new apps seem to have a somewhat languishing existence. For example, we cannot yet say that 3D Paint has reached the same iconic status as Paint. It is not without reason that Microsoft is not phasing out Paint yet and the company continues to develop it further . The Remix 3D 3D model sharing service associated with 3D Paint was shut down last year. Contacts app People, Groove Music, Movies & TV and Maps also do not seem to have the success that Microsoft had hoped for and there is not much development in those apps either. The Mixed Reality Portal was supposed to turn Windows into an important VR platform, but the focus on VR has faded again, and the market is firmly in the hands of Oculus, HTC and Valve, according to the statistics of the Steam Database .

Then there are features that never came. For example, in 2017 , Microsoft announced Sets , which allowed users to group tabs from different applications into a single window. Sets appeared in test versions of Windows, but never cameand the likelihood of this happening is slim. Voice assistant Cortana was also never introduced for the Dutch and Flemish language area. Cortana was one of the prominent new features of Windows 10, but the assistant soon lost out to Amazon’s Alexa and Google’s Assistant, which received much more support, while Apple was able to integrate Siri into its own ecosystem. Microsoft has now reduced its ambitions with Cortana to an assistant for Office and it is now a separate app. The question is whether Cortana will ever learn Dutch again.

Windows 10 N, S and X

Microsoft mainly advertises the Home and Pro versions of Windows 10, but in practice there are more versions of the operating system. For example, you have the Pro for Workstation, Enterprise and Education versions of Windows 10. Everyone has forgotten, but you still have N versions . These are variants for the European market that do not have the built-in media player, Movies & TV and Groove Music. Since 2004, Microsoft has had to offer Windows versions without built-in media apps by order of the European Commission, which wanted to guarantee at the time that RealNetworks, for example, would continue to have a chance with its media player.

In 2017, Microsoft unveiled the arrival of Windows 10 S. With this stripped-down version of Windows 10, the company wanted to compete with Chromebooks in particular for the educational and business market, but the version turned out to lead to a lack of clarity. The software could only run apps from the Windows Store and had Edge as its permanent default browser. According to Microsoft, this was offset by security and efficiency, but users could only appreciate it moderately. Initially, an upgrade to 10 Pro was still free, but after a few months, users had to pay a few tenners for it. After a year, Microsoft stopped with 10 S and since then the company has been offering manufacturers the option to put Windows 10 in an S mode on devices, but few manufacturers seem to be taking advantage of this. Users can upgrade to a full-fledged Windows 10 version for free, so there seems to be little incentive for consumers to stick with S mode.

In fact, Windows 10 on ARM is also an S-mode version. Microsoft introduced Windows 10 on ARM in 2016 and it is the continuation of Windows RT for running Windows on ARM systems. In 2017, Microsoft and Qualcomm are investing heavily in so-called Always Connected PCs with ARM chips, but so far with little success. Windows 10 on ARM has been dormant for a while, but it could be a long-term success as Apple moves to ARM for Macs, as ARM Socs for PCs become more powerful, and as Microsoft works on emulation for x64 programs on ARM. Windows 10 on ARM can run 32bit and 64bit versions of ARM apps by default, but for the emulation of x86 code there is the WOW64layer, which only emulates 32bit-x86 software. That means 64bit programs will not run.

And then, of course, there’s Windows 10X , the version that’s optimized for dual-screen devices, but will appear first on single-screen devices , according to Microsoft . When that will be the case is still unclear. The plan was for 10X to be released this fall, but Microsoft is hinting at a delay , making a release next year seem more likely. Windows 10X is not a replacement or successor to Windows 10, but should be seen as a different platform according to the developer. Interestingly, the operating system can run ‘old’ Win32 programs, but as a container within a guest OS. That way there’s compatibility, but the company can make the basics of Windows more efficient.

The future of Windows 10

Windows 10 20H2 will appear sometime in the period from September to November, probably under a name like October 2020 Update. This then brings performance and quality improvements, but little or no new features. However, anyone who updates will get the Edge on Chromium browser anyway. The update is similar to the November 2019 Update and according to Windows Latest, the update from the end of 2021, or 21H2, is also limited in scope. For example, we can almost speak of a cadence of a major update in the spring and a small one in the autumn. At least next year’s version 21H1 seems to bring a start menu with no background colors, Edge tabs in the alt+tab overview, a Programmable Taskbar, and a shift from control panel items to the settings menu .

Windows 10
Version Codename Marketing name
1507 threshold 1
1511 threshold 2 November update
1607 red stone 1 anniversary update
1703 red stone 2 Creator’s Update
1709 red stone 3 Fall Creators Update
1803 red stone 4 Apr 2018 Update
1809 red stone 5 October 2018 Update
1903 19H1 May 2019 update
1909 19H2 November 2019 Update
2004 20H1 May 2020 Update
20H2 20H2 Still unknown

Those who continue to update Windows 10 can still count on support. The May 2020 Update will receive support at least until December 2021 and for the October 2018 Update, Microsoft recently extended support until November this year due to the corona crisis.

Windows 10 version history Date availability End of service for Home, Pro, Pro Education, and Pro for Workstations editions End of service for Enterprise and Education editions
Windows 10 version 2004 May 27, 2020 December 14, 2021 December 14, 2021
Windows 10 version 1909 November 12, 2019 May 11, 2021 May 10, 2022
Windows 10 version 1903 May 21, 2019 December 8, 2020 December 8, 2020
Windows 10 version 1809 November 13, 2018 May 12, 2020 November 10, 2020 May 11, 2021
Windows 10 version 1803 April 30, 2018 November 12, 2019 November 10, 2020
Windows 10, version 1709 October 17, 2017 April 9, 2019 April 14, 2020 October 13, 2020
Windows 10, version 1703 April 5, 2017* October 9, 2018 October 8, 2019
Windows 10, version 1607 August 2, 2016 April 10, 2018 April 9, 2019
Windows 10, version 1511 November 10, 2015 October 10, 2017 October 10, 2017
Windows 10, released July 2015 (version 1507) July 29, 2015 May 9, 2017 May 9, 2017

The big question is whether and if so when there will be a successor to Windows 10. Microsoft has always proclaimed that Windows 10 is a service it keeps updating, and an end to updating the operating system is not yet in sight. Microsoft will release specific Windows versions for different devices, in addition to Windows 10.

Finally, sometime late this year or early next year, Windows 10X should be officially released on devices with single or dual screens. Windows 10X runs on Core OS, the modular platform that Microsoft is developing for various devices. Windows Holographic of the HoloLens 2 also runs on Core OS. Few details are known about this modular platform. The Surface Hub 2S whiteboard would also run on Core OS with the arrival of an upgrade in the form of a 2X processor cartridge, but at the beginning of this year it became clear that that upgrade will not come this year and that Microsoft will provide a software upgrade based on of Windows 10 for the Surface Hub displays is planned.

Whatever the future holds for Windows, software will no longer occupy the preeminence at Microsoft that it held in decades past, under the leadership of Bill Gates and Steve Ballmer. At least, if it is up to current CEO Satya Nadella. Under him, cloud platform Azure and development platform Graph have become more important components. The idea that the device will no longer be central to computing was called nonsense by Nadella to Wired last year. “The operating system is no longer the most important layer for us.”

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